Tropical Storm GRACE Advisory mié, 09-09

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072015
0300 UTC WED SEP 09 2015

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN