Tropical Storm ORLENE Advisory lun, 12-09

ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM ORLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP162016
0300 UTC MON SEP 12 2016

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ORLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 115W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

15N 120W       34  2   3( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)   4(15)   1(16)   X(16)

20N 120W       34  2  19(21)  36(57)  14(71)  12(83)   2(85)   X(85)
20N 120W       50  X   2( 2)  14(16)  14(30)  16(46)   1(47)   X(47)
20N 120W       64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   9(21)   X(21)   X(21)

25N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)  12(15)  29(44)   5(49)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)   2(16)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

15N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  18(24)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART