Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL Advisory lun, 25-08

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC MON AUG 25 2014

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)  17(34)   X(34)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)

SAN SALVADOR   34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MAYAGUANA      34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH